History
Track record
Your saved picks, their results and whether the market moved your way after you took them.
Record
0–0
picks settled
Win rate
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Grade a pick to start
Average edge
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No saved picks yet
Beat the close
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Need 5 more closing prices
Closing line value
The closing price is the market's most informed number — beating it consistently is the best proof the edge is real, long before win/loss samples mean anything.
Not enough settled picks yet — 0 closing prices captured, 5 needed. EDGE records the closing Kalshi price automatically once each game starts.
Calibration
When EDGE says 70%, those picks should win about 70% of the time. This is the model grading itself. Until enough picks have settled, every probability in the app is a modeled estimate — not yet calibrated, and nothing here is proven.
Not yet calibrated — 0 settled picks so far, 10 more needed before a curve means anything. EDGE shows no curve rather than one built on a handful of results, so treat today's percentages as model estimates only.